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A Stronger Outlook for Earnings

The Frost Feed: Market Intelligence | Commentary from Frost Investment Advisors  | May 30, 2024

Earnings Pop but Banks and Economy Lag

First quarter earnings came in well above expectations, with more than 93% of companies reporting. Earnings per share are up 5.7% year-over-year, the best quarterly result since the second quarter of 2022. The average beat of 7.5% is above the 10-year average. Second-quarter estimates are being revised upward, which is unusual this early in a quarter. In contrast, revenue growth is weaker than earnings, growing below the 10-year average. Strong earnings growth in a weakening revenue environment has necessarily been driven by higher profit margins, which have edged up to 11.7%. The current consensus forecast of 11% EPS growth for 2024 looks aggressive amid eroding pricing power and a slowing economy. 

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