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News & Views

Provided by the Investment Professionals of Frost Investment Advisors | August 01, 2022

Powell Reluctantly Commits to Inflation Fight amid Recessionary Signals; Wall Street Anticipates a Fed Pivot

Powell: “The risks of doing too little are quite a bit greater than the risks of doing too much.”

Following the Federal Reserve’s 75 basis point interest rate increase last month, Chairman Jerome Powell made a curious statement during the press conference. He said that with this move in interest rates, they have now reached the ‘neutral rate’, a concept we touched on in last week’s edition of Market News & Views. What he is implying, intentionally or not, with the fed funds rate currently at 2.5%, is that this is sufficient to no longer contribute to the growth in inflation and GDP. Reaching the neutral rate is a new decision point for the Fed as it contemplates the need for yet higher rates and the risks they might bring to the economy.

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