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Commentary from Frost Investment Advisors | April 17 , 2023

Jobs and Small Businesses will be Casualties of Fed’s War on Inflation amid Tightening Lending Standards

Cracks in the Labor Market

Initial unemployment claims were revised up recently, painting a more negative outlook on the employment front. Claims had been falling since last summer. With the revisions, they are currently sitting at their highest level in over a year. Layoff announcements from companies also have been rising precipitously. A recent Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland study indicates these notices tend to lead initial claims by about 60 days, portending poor job reports in the offing.

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